Decline? Yes. Collapse? No.

Decline? Yes. Collapse? No. Collapse would mean CIA spooks scribbling op-eds on Substack and hawking $10-a-month subscriptions like two-bit grifters at a carnival sideshow. The agency boys in their ill-fitting suits, slumped in coffee shops from Langley to Lincoln, churning out think pieces titled “The Death of American Empire: A Personal Journey” or “How I Lost My Clearance and Found Myself.” Picture it: operatives reduced to grinding out conspiracy-laden screeds for an audience of doom-scrolling paranoids, trading cryptic tips on counter-espionage for thumbs-up emojis.

This isn’t a collapse. It’s a slow, shambling descent into mediocrity—less Rome burning and more Rome outsourcing its fire brigade to a Silicon Valley startup promising AI-enhanced water buckets. The spooks wouldn’t vanish into the ether, oh no. They’d pivot. A little less covert action, a little more hustle culture. “Learn how to stage a coup and build your personal brand!” The kind of moral rot that isn’t dramatic, but banal. Bureaucratic.

And that’s how the empire falls—not with a bang, but with a LinkedIn post: “Former clandestine operative seeking new opportunities. Skills include psychological warfare, asset recruitment, and SEO optimization.”

Decline? Yes. Collapse? No. Collapse would mean Goldman Sachs executives ditching their bespoke suits for hoodies and baseball caps, launching NFT collections called Bond Ape Yacht Club and hyping memecoins like GoldenBoiCoin on Twitter Spaces at 3 a.m. It would mean the masters of the universe pivoting to online casinos, hawking sketchy roulette apps with slogans like “Double or Nothing, Baby!” and adopting bizarre Keke Palmer-inspired influencer personas to stay relevant.

Picture it: Lloyd Blankfein rebranded as “CryptoDaddy420,” hosting live streams where he explains fractional reserve banking while doing TikTok dances. Or David Solomon, no longer DJ-ing for private equity parties, but spinning tracks for a metaverse nightclub called Liquidity Trap, offering free “SolomonCoins” with every overpriced cocktail.

Collapse is when Goldman Sachs stops building empires and starts building virtual slot machines, where every spin is a bet against their old dignity. It’s the high-finance sharks rebranding themselves as meme lords, desperately slapping doge faces on dollar signs and posting thirst traps on Instagram to pump the latest Ponzi. Collapse is when the titans of Wall Street get stuck hustling to pay off their own margin calls, swiping right on venture capitalists and pitching “decentralized financial synergy platforms” to crowds of indifferent day traders.

Decline, though? Decline is where we’re at now—Goldman still has its hands on the levers, still squeezing the juice out of the system, but you can see the cracks forming. Collapse is when the juice runs out, and they’re left hawking virtual blackjack in some dystopian e-casino, chanting “to the moon” like the rest of the rubes.

Decline? Yes. Collapse? No.

Collapse is when Hollywood’s not just phoning it in anymore, it’s mainlining pure, uncut digital sewage straight into the veins of the American consciousness. It’s become a goddamn content farm, a festering pustule of spin-offs and reality TV simulacra churning out mountains of digital excrement that’s no longer art, no longer entertainment, no longer even remotely recognizable as storytelling. It’s the Ouroboros on a bad acid trip, devouring its own tail for profit until there’s nothing left but a greasy stain on the digital carpet.

Decline? That’s some half-assed Transformers sequel. Collapse? That’s Hollywood turning into a goddamn NFT vending machine, it’s movies nothing more than flickering delivery systems for monetized absurdity. Imagine Star Wars: Ewok Influencers. Christ on a crutch, what a nightmare. A show designed solely to sell digital skins and loot boxes in some Fortnite-style digital shooting gallery. It’s not entertainment, it’s a goddamn transaction. A digital fleecing.

And then there’s the final, ignominious surrender: the abandonment of film itself. Hollywood shuffles off into the digital void, embracing virtual reality and interactive gaming, ditching those “old-fashioned” movies because they’re too damn difficult to monetize effectively. The focus shifts entirely to endless monetization schemes—pay-to-win models, microtransactions embedded in the goddamn content itself. You don’t watch The Avengers: Cash Grab Chronicles; you pay five bucks every time Iron Man wants to throw a goddamn punch. It’s a digital bloodletting.

Even the projects greenlit for nostalgia or marketability become self-aware cash grabs, openly mocking the audience’s pathetic willingness to consume this digital garbage. Jurassic Park 12: Dinosaurs on Mars. No plot. Just dinosaurs, explosions, and random celebrity cameos, marketed as “The ultimate cinematic experience for our ADHD era!” It’s a goddamn insult. A digital middle finger to the remnants of taste.

Aleppo

Somewhere north of the rotting heart of Aleppo, where the roads are just suggestions and the sky is the same dull gray as the mortar dust, the Pentagon’s militia went to war with the CIA’s boys. It wasn’t news to anyone on the ground, least of all the fighters pulling triggers with American ordnance, but it sent a shiver through the air-conditioned rooms in Washington. Two branches of the same machine grinding each other down in the dirt—another bad punchline in a war with too many setups and no real payoffs.

The fighters had names that sounded like half-remembered slogans from a dream—Knights of Righteousness, People’s Protection Units, Syrian Democratic Forces. Maj. Fares Bayoush of the Knights summed it up with the kind of grim, practical poetry that thrives in these places: “Any faction that attacks us, regardless of where it gets its support, we will fight it.” He didn’t need to say where the Knights got their support. Everybody already knew.

The CIA had its own thing going, smuggling antitank missiles into the hands of its favorites like party favors at a disaster. The Pentagon, meanwhile, kept trying to reinvent the wheel, dropping ammo and advice to Kurdish fighters from the sky while telling Ankara it was all under control. It wasn’t under control. It was never under control. The chessboard had flipped into three dimensions, the rules rewritten by people who didn’t have to play the game.

Marea was a postcard from the apocalypse. Its streets were once a pipeline for supplies and dreams smuggled in from Turkey, but the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces had stormed in like they were reading from a script no one else had seen. The locals called it betrayal. The Turks called it treachery. The Americans called it a misunderstanding. Somewhere in the chaos, the MOM—Musterek Operasyon Merkezi, if you were feeling formal—kept pretending it was still in charge.

“The MOM knows we fight them,” said a fighter from the Suqour Al-Jabal brigade. He didn’t want his name in print, didn’t need it. Names had a way of disappearing out here, like faces in a sandstorm. “We’ll fight all who aim to divide Syria or harm its people.”

This wasn’t the war anyone thought they’d signed up for, but it was the war they got. Rebels fought rebels. Friends became enemies over nightfall and a fresh cache of American munitions. The whole damn thing was fracturing, splintering into something raw and unknowable. Every bullet that flew seemed to have a U.S. serial number, and nobody back home wanted to admit what that meant.

It wasn’t just Aleppo. It wasn’t just Syria. It was the way these wars always unfolded—covert plans unraveling in the open, alliances crumbling under their own weight. In Washington, they called it a “challenge.” On the ground, they just called it Tuesday.

So I guess this is our way of sticking it to Russia for winning in Ukraine and to Iran for being Iran, nevermind some of the groups we’re supporting look a lot like a Riyadh Langley Caliphate but I guess I should catch up on that

It’s like a geopolitical spitefest disguised as strategy. We’re playing a convoluted game of payback, doubling down on fronts that don’t actually hit our rivals where it hurts, just where it feels satisfying in the short term. Russia holds its ground in Ukraine? Fine, we’ll bog them down by funneling money and weapons into Syria, turning it into a simmering proxy war where the casualties are somebody else’s problem. Iran flexes in the region? Cool, let’s arm their enemies, even if those enemies’ ideologies look like they were drafted in a Riyadh boardroom and edited in Langley’s basement.

The “Riyadh-Langley Caliphate” bit is spot on—some of these groups might as well come with a Saudi flag in one hand and a CIA playbook in the other. But it’s all transactional, no vision. We’re not building alliances or stability; we’re just putting Band-Aids on bullet holes while making sure the right warlords get paid. The problem is, those warlords don’t stay bought. They’re just waiting for the next weapons shipment to declare themselves the new sheriff in town—or sell half of it to the highest bidder.

The State Department wants its “rules-based order” fantasy to survive in a region where rules are written in sand and blown away by the next power vacuum. They throw their weight behind “moderates,” which often means anyone who doesn’t explicitly fly a black flag. But they don’t have the boots or the budget to make it stick, so they’re constantly trying to wrangle the Pentagon and CIA to prop up their preferred factions.

The Pentagon, meanwhile, doesn’t do finesse. They like a chain of command, not a band of militias who play by their own rules. The Pentagon’s ideal partner is predictable, disciplined, and already armed to the teeth. Enter the Kurdish groups—the closest thing to reliable soldiers in the region. Never mind that arming them pisses off Turkey, a NATO ally, or that they’ve got their own agenda. The Pentagon sees an ally who can hold ground, not a future political crisis.

And then there’s the CIA, the chaos agent. They’re covertly funneling weapons to groups whose resumes look like a greatest hits album of the bad guys we’ve been fighting for the last 20 years. Why? Because they’re obsessed with keeping the pressure on Assad and, by extension, on Iran and Russia. It doesn’t matter if their militias shoot at Pentagon-backed fighters or destabilize the State Department’s carefully crafted alliances. To the CIA, it’s all a game of leverage. If one group doesn’t play ball, they’ll just find another.

And sure, we can talk about sticking it to Russia and Iran, but who’s really feeling the pressure here? Russia is happy to see us bleed resources in a war that’s already lost its narrative. Iran? They’ve been playing the long game since before we even knew what the game was. They know we’ll spend billions trying to counter their influence while they just keep grinding away with their own militias and proxies. Meanwhile, the chaos makes the Gulf states nervous, and nervous Gulf states mean more arms deals, more U.S. bases, and more “partnerships” that amount to holding the bag for another generation of regional instability.

So yeah, catch up, but don’t expect it to make sense. It’s less a coherent policy and more a bad habit we can’t break—spending our credibility, our cash, and our soldiers on conflicts where even the best-case scenario leaves us asking, “Wait, what was the point of this again?”

It’s Thucydides rebranded, with less glory and more collateral damage. Athens versus Sparta, State versus CIA versus the Pentagon, all fighting proxy wars inside a collapsing empire of influence. But the irony is that this isn’t some clear-cut battle for supremacy. It’s a battle to see who can avoid blame long enough to survive the next budget cycle. Meanwhile, the real winners are watching from the sidelines, playing the long game while the U.S. plays whack-a-mole with its own institutions.

China? They don’t even need to fight. They’ve mastered the art of letting America outmaneuver itself, one ill-conceived intervention at a time. Russia? They’re running the chaos playbook like it’s a greatest hits album, knowing they don’t need to win outright—just muddy the waters enough to keep the U.S. distracted.

And here we are, fighting ourselves in the shadow of our own decline. State wants stability but can’t resist tinkering with regime change. CIA wants control but keeps outsourcing it to militias they can’t manage. The Pentagon wants to stay out of the fray until they’re dragged in, at which point they carpet-bomb the chessboard and call it strategy. Nobody’s coming out on top because the fight isn’t for dominance anymore—it’s for relevance.

The result? A “Riyadh-Langley Caliphate” Frankenstein monster—funded by the Gulf, armed by Langley, and tolerated by State as a necessary evil. It’s a total clusterfuck, with the U.S. essentially funding a regional civil war where our own proxies fight each other over scraps of influence. And while the agencies duke it out, the real winners—Russia, Iran, Turkey, even ISIS remnants—watch from the sidelines, taking notes on how America burns billions to make its own problems worse.

It’s not just a fight against Assad or Iran or even terrorism. It’s us versus us, competing to see who can win the ugliest, dumbest, most Pyrrhic victory of them all. If that’s not the perfect metaphor for modern U.S. foreign policy, I don’t know what is.

Opium

Scene: A Dimly Lit Room, Somewhere in Southeast China

*The year is 1887. The British empire still has a firm grasp on its colonies, and in the Southeast Asian trade networks, opium flows like gold. Inside a luxurious but worn-out room, adorned with Qing dynasty artifacts and British imperial emblems, a British opium trader, *Charles Harrington*, sits behind a large mahogany desk. He wears a well-tailored waistcoat and cravat, his eyes cold and calculating. Across from him sits *Michael O’Donnell, an American operative, decades out of place, but well aware of his mission. Though the room is set in 19th century China, O’Donnell is a man of the 20th century — a CIA officer from the 1970s, time displaced yet unfazed.

Harrington pulls a cigar from a silver case, lights it, and offers one to O’Donnell. The American declines, leaning forward, his eyes dark and knowing.

Charles Harrington (British Opium Trader):
Takes a deep drag of his cigar.
“You Americans always seem to think the game is something new. But let me tell you, lad, this trade we’ve built here—opium to China, silver back to the Crown—it’s the very lifeblood of empire. And you, with your disbursals and kingmaker strategies, well, you’re but a mirror of us. Different time, same means.”
He exhales a thick plume of smoke.

Michael O’Donnell (American CIA Operative):
Leans back in his chair, unphased.
“I didn’t come here for a history lesson, Harrington. I’m here because you’re playing the game on the same board we are now. The names may have changed, sure—cartels, revolutionaries, intelligence services—but it’s still about control. Control of people, of markets, of nations.”

Harrington:
Laughs heartily, a bit of arrogance in his tone.
“Control, yes. Control indeed. But tell me, Mr. O’Donnell, what exactly does your Agency hope to achieve by making men like the ones I deal with into kings? Do you think your ‘cartels’ will remain loyal to your stars and stripes any more than my merchants do to the Crown?”
He snuffs his cigar in a nearby ashtray.
“You’re playing with fire, lad. The opium’s just one part of a much larger machine.”

O’Donnell:
His tone sharpens.
“It’s not loyalty we’re after. It’s leverage. Same as you. You may be used to dealing with addicts—men so hooked on your product they’d sell their own mothers to get a taste—but we’ve moved on. Now it’s about keeping entire countries hooked on the American dream, on dollars, guns, influence. That’s our opium.”

Harrington:
His eyes narrow slightly, intrigued by the American’s candor.
“So, you’re admitting to it then? All this talk of freedom, democracy—it’s just a mask for your real work. Topple a government here, set up a puppet there. And you think you’re so clever with your little operations. But sooner or later, you’ll learn what I’ve already discovered.”

O’Donnell:
“And what’s that?”

Harrington:
Leans in, his voice lowering.
“No matter how much power you think you wield, the people who truly hold the strings are the ones no one sees. The ones in the shadows. You can install all the puppet kings you like, but they’ll never be yours. Not truly. Just like my opium buyers—they’re loyal only until the next hit. The moment you can’t provide, they’ll find someone else who can.”

O’Donnell:
Smirks.
“Funny, I was about to say the same thing to you. You think your empire’s immortal? That your precious Queen back in London can keep squeezing the world forever? I’ve read the history books, Harrington. Empires fall. All of them. Yours isn’t any different.”

Harrington:
Chuckles darkly.
“Perhaps. But I have a feeling yours will fall harder. You’ve seen what happens when the flow of silver or drugs gets interrupted. The same applies to influence. You’ll overreach, Mr. O’Donnell. You already are.”
Pauses, then continues with a half-smile.
“And when that happens, well, we’ll see who is scrambling for the scraps.”

O’Donnell:
Leaning forward now, his voice intense.
“Let’s not pretend you don’t see the parallels, Harrington. We’re both here because we know the world runs on corruption. The question is, how far are you willing to let it go? I’m not interested in building an empire. I’m here to make sure it doesn’t collapse too soon. But if that means playing kingmaker and breaking a few laws along the way—so be it. Our game is global. Yours was regional. Don’t confuse the two.”

Harrington:
With a sly grin.
“Ah, but regional control can be far more devastating than you think. And at least we weren’t foolish enough to dream of ruling the whole world. Ambition, Mr. O’Donnell, is the very thing that will destroy you and your Agency.”

O’Donnell:
Rising from his seat, his eyes cold.
“Maybe. But not today. And certainly not by the likes of you.”

O’Donnell turns and heads for the door, leaving the heavy air of colonial decadence and imperial machinations behind. As the door creaks open and closes, Harrington takes another slow drag of his cigar, watching the smoke curl lazily toward the ceiling, pondering the inevitability of all things—empires, drugs, and men.

Harrington (murmuring to himself):
“Not today, no… but soon enough.”
He exhales another thick cloud of smoke into the fading light.