Attention

As our world becomes increasingly saturated with content and options for entertainment, it can be difficult to sift through the noise and find something worth watching. The sheer volume of options available can be overwhelming, and the quality of the content itself can be hit or miss. It’s no wonder that many of us find ourselves feeling fatigued and frustrated when trying to find something to watch.

One possible explanation for this feeling is the shift towards user-generated content and the idea that people talking at crosses purposes is a better business model than paying professionals to create movies, books, and music. This trend has been exemplified by platforms like YouTube, which have placed a greater emphasis on the big-n statistical game of user-generated content, rather than betting on a few select horses like traditional streaming services.

While this approach may seem like a cost-effective way to generate content, the reality is that it may be costing us more than we realize. Demand for this type of content remains static, and the quality can be inconsistent at best. It’s true that in the past, advertising has been a reliable way to generate revenue and maintain value even in the face of devalued content. However, even this model may be in jeopardy as consumers become increasingly savvy and resistant to traditional advertising tactics.

So where does that leave us? As consumers, we may need to shift our expectations and approach to content consumption. Rather than relying solely on algorithms and user-generated content, we may need to be more intentional and discerning in our choices. Seeking out trusted sources, reading reviews, and being willing to invest time and attention in finding quality content may be necessary in this new landscape.

Ultimately, the challenge of finding something worth watching may be symptomatic of a larger issue: the commodification of creativity and entertainment. As our attention becomes a valuable commodity, we may need to be more mindful of how we consume and support content creators. By valuing quality over quantity and being willing to invest in the work of artists and creatives, we can help ensure that we continue to have access to meaningful and engaging entertainment for years to come.

Great ideas are not produced by systems designed to produce great ideas

The pursuit of great ideas has been a constant throughout human history. From the ancient philosophers of Greece to the modern innovators of Silicon Valley, people have always sought to push the boundaries of what is possible and create something truly remarkable. However, the process of creating great ideas is not always straightforward, and many have argued that systems designed to produce great ideas are ultimately doomed to fail.

One of the main challenges with systems designed to produce great ideas is that they often prioritize efficiency and productivity over creativity and innovation. In order to produce a large number of ideas quickly, these systems tend to rely on standardized processes and templates that limit the scope of what is possible. This can lead to a situation where the ideas produced are predictable, uninspired, and ultimately unremarkable.

Another challenge with systems designed to produce great ideas is that they can be overly focused on outcomes rather than process. When the goal is to produce a specific outcome, such as a new product or service, the emphasis is often on achieving that goal as quickly and efficiently as possible. However, the creative process is not always linear or predictable, and sometimes the best ideas emerge from unexpected places. By focusing too much on outcomes, we risk missing out on these serendipitous moments of insight and inspiration.

Finally, systems designed to produce great ideas can be stifling to individual creativity and expression. When individuals are expected to adhere to a set of predetermined guidelines or rules, they may feel that their individuality and unique perspective is being stifled. This can lead to a situation where the ideas produced are homogenous and lack the diversity of thought necessary to create truly innovative solutions.

There are many examples of great ideas that have emerged outside of traditional institutions like universities, corporations, record companies, film studios, or publishing houses. Here are a few examples of such ideas:

  1. The printing press: While Johannes Gutenberg is often credited with inventing the printing press, he was not affiliated with any university, corporation, or publishing house when he developed the technology that revolutionized the dissemination of knowledge.
  2. The theory of evolution: Charles Darwin developed the theory of evolution independently while working as a naturalist and geologist, without any institutional support.
  3. The concept of Bitcoin: The digital currency Bitcoin was developed by an unknown person or group going by the pseudonym “Satoshi Nakamoto” and not affiliated with any established financial institution.
  4. The modern bicycle: The modern bicycle, with its chain drive and diamond frame, was developed by a number of inventors working independently in the late 1800s, without any institutional support.
  5. The punk rock movement: The punk rock movement emerged from a DIY ethos, with bands forming outside of established record labels and rejecting the corporate rock establishment.
  6. The Open Source software movement: The open source software movement, which has produced a wide range of innovative and groundbreaking technologies, is characterized by a decentralized and collaborative approach that values creativity and innovation over efficiency and productivity.
  7. The Harlem Renaissance: The Harlem Renaissance was a flowering of African American culture in the early 20th century, characterized by literary, artistic, and musical innovation that emerged outside of established cultural institutions.
  8. The Beat Generation: The Beat Generation, a group of writers and poets who rejected mainstream culture and celebrated non-conformity and individualism, emerged outside of established publishing houses and literary institutions.
  9. The Maker movement: The Maker movement, which emphasizes DIY creativity and innovation, has produced a wide range of new technologies and products that have emerged outside of established corporations and manufacturing processes.
  10. The invention of the modern skateboard: The modern skateboard was developed by a group of surfers in California in the 1950s and 60s, who repurposed roller skates to create a new kind of rideable.
  11. The emergence of the modern environmental movement: The modern environmental movement emerged in the 1960s and 70s from grassroots organizations and activists who were concerned about pollution, conservation, and environmental justice.
  12. The development of hip hop music: Hip hop music emerged from African American and Latino communities in New York City in the 1970s, as DJs, MCs, and dancers developed a new style of music and dance that blended funk, soul, and other genres.
  13. The growth of the organic food movement: The organic food movement emerged from a desire to promote sustainable agriculture, reduce reliance on pesticides and herbicides, and improve public health.
  14. The creation of the video game industry: The video game industry emerged from a combination of hobbyist and entrepreneurial efforts, as early developers experimented with new technologies and gameplay mechanics.
  15. The rise of podcasting: Podcasting emerged as a way for independent creators to produce and distribute their own audio content, without the need for traditional radio or broadcasting infrastructure.
  16. The development of the first personal computer: The first personal computers were developed by hobbyists and entrepreneurs in the 1970s, who saw the potential for a new kind of computing device that could be used by individuals in their homes and offices.
  17. The founding of Wikipedia: Wikipedia was founded by Jimmy Wales and Larry Sanger as a way to create a free, online encyclopedia that could be edited and maintained by anyone.

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Slippery Slope Transactions

As the world continues to grapple with the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries are eager to reopen their economies and return to some semblance of normalcy. However, the rush to reopen may be based on a flawed understanding of how our economy and society function, particularly with regards to what are known as “slippery slope transactions.”

Slippery slope transactions are those in which the average person does not really need a significant increase in effectiveness or performance for the product or service being sold. These transactions often rely on impulse buys or the manipulation of consumer behavior, rather than a genuine need or desire for the product. In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, this can be seen in the rush to reopen businesses and public spaces, despite the continued risk of infection and transmission.

The costs of highjacking back the signal that once reliably correlated with impulse buys, particularly in terms of health and happiness, are likely to be significant. This means that even if people are willing to take the risk and return to pre-pandemic behaviors, there may be lasting consequences in terms of public health and wellbeing.

Moreover, the rush to reopen may also exacerbate existing inequalities and injustices in our society. Those who are most vulnerable to the effects of the pandemic, such as low-income and marginalized communities, are also the ones who are likely to bear the brunt of the costs of reopening too early. This includes not only the risks of infection and illness, but also the economic and social impacts of a potentially prolonged pandemic.

In short, the hurry to reopen may be driven by a flawed understanding of our economy and society, and the costs of highjacking back the signals of health and happiness may be too high to bear. As we continue to navigate the complexities of the COVID-19 pandemic, it is important that we approach the issue with mindfulness, compassion, and a commitment to the wellbeing of all members of our society. Only by working together can we hope to overcome this crisis and emerge stronger and more resilient on the other side.

Failure Mode

Failure mode is a term that is commonly used to describe the state of an object or system when it is no longer able to perform its intended function. This can occur in a variety of contexts, from the failure of a mechanical system to the failure of a relationship. Understanding failure mode is crucial in identifying potential problems and preventing catastrophic failures.

The concept of failure mode is important in engineering and manufacturing, where the failure of a product can have serious consequences. In these industries, failure mode analysis is used to identify potential points of failure in a product or system. This process involves breaking down the product or system into its individual components and analyzing how each component may fail. By understanding the failure modes of each component, engineers can design products that are more resilient and less likely to fail.

Failure mode analysis can also be applied to human systems, such as relationships and organizations. In these contexts, failure mode can refer to the breakdown of communication, trust, or cooperation between individuals or groups. This can lead to a breakdown of the relationship or organization, and can have serious consequences for those involved.

One of the challenges of understanding failure mode is that it is often unpredictable. While engineers and designers can anticipate some failure modes, there are always unforeseen circumstances that can lead to failure. This is why it is important to not only understand failure mode, but also to build systems that are resilient in the face of failure. This involves designing systems that can withstand unexpected failures and quickly recover from them.

In addition, it is important to recognize that failure can be a valuable learning experience. When a failure occurs, it is important to analyze what went wrong and why it happened. This can help us identify potential problems before they occur and improve our systems to prevent future failures.

Overall, understanding failure mode is crucial in preventing catastrophic failures and designing resilient systems. Whether in engineering, manufacturing, or human relationships, failure mode analysis is an important tool for identifying potential problems and developing solutions. By recognizing the unpredictable nature of failure and learning from our failures, we can build systems that are more robust and better able to withstand unexpected challenges.

Firstly, it is important to understand how our current system fails. Whether it be in our personal lives or in the wider society, there are always ways in which things can go wrong. For example, a company may fail due to poor leadership, a relationship may fail due to lack of communication, or a government may fail due to corruption. It is important to recognize these failures and understand why they occurred so that we can work towards preventing them in the future.

  1. A mechanical system may fail due to wear and tear on its components, causing it to break down or malfunction.
  2. A software system may fail due to a programming error, resulting in crashes or incorrect output.
  3. A communication system may fail due to interference or signal loss, resulting in disrupted or lost messages.
  4. A transportation system may fail due to accidents, congestion, or weather conditions, resulting in delays or cancellations.
  5. A financial system may fail due to market fluctuations or economic crises, resulting in losses for investors or businesses.
  6. A political system may fail due to corruption, incompetence, or lack of public trust, resulting in political instability or social unrest.
  7. A healthcare system may fail due to shortages of staff or resources, resulting in poor patient care or medical errors.
  8. An energy system may fail due to supply disruptions, equipment failures, or environmental disasters, resulting in power outages or fuel shortages.
  9. A security system may fail due to breaches in cybersecurity or physical security measures, resulting in data theft or physical harm.
  10. A social system may fail due to discrimination, inequality, or social injustice, resulting in social unrest or disenfranchisement of certain groups.

Secondly, we need to understand how well our current system works in failure mode. When we are in a state of failure, it can be difficult to navigate our way out of it. However, it is important to acknowledge that failure can sometimes be a necessary step towards success. In some cases, failure can help us learn from our mistakes and improve our future actions. Therefore, it is important to have systems in place that can help us bounce back from failure and move forward.

  1. An elevator that is stuck between floors but still able to open and close its doors.
  2. A car that has a flat tire but can still be driven at a reduced speed.
  3. A phone that has a cracked screen but is still able to make and receive calls.
  4. A computer that is running slowly due to malware but is still able to perform basic functions.
  5. A printer that is low on ink but can still print documents with reduced quality.
  6. A clock that is losing time but still able to display the time with some degree of accuracy.
  7. A refrigerator that is not cooling properly but still able to keep food at a slightly above room temperature.
  8. A water heater that is not producing hot water at full capacity but still able to provide some hot water.
  9. A radio that has poor reception but can still play music with some static.
  10. A lightbulb that is flickering but still able to provide some light.

Finally, it is important to recognize that the mode of failure cannot be predicted from what we’ve seen so far. We may think we understand why something failed based on past experiences, but there may be underlying factors that we are not aware of. This is especially true in complex systems such as the economy or political systems. Therefore, it is important to approach failure with an open mind and be willing to adapt our thinking as we learn more.

In conclusion, just because we are operating in failure mode most of the time, we cannot take for granted our understanding of how our current system fails, how well it works in failure mode, and how the mode of failure cannot be predicted from what we’ve seen so far. It is important to be aware of these ideas and how they affect our daily lives. By recognizing failure, understanding how to navigate failure mode, and being open to learning, we can work towards building better systems that are resilient in the face of failure.

Downhill Thinking

Human beings have always been creatures of habit. We tend to do things the same way repeatedly until we develop a sense of familiarity and comfort with those actions. This tendency applies to every aspect of our lives, including our thinking patterns. Some people find that their thinking works best when designed to run downhill, meaning that they prefer to work with their natural tendencies rather than against them. This approach to thinking has a number of advantages, and in this essay, we will explore why loose thinking lasts longer and functions better.

When we say that thinking works best when designed to run downhill, we mean that it is more effective when we work with our natural tendencies. For example, some people are naturally more creative and imaginative, while others are more analytical and detail-oriented. If someone who is naturally creative is forced to work in a highly structured and analytical environment, they may struggle to produce their best work. Similarly, if someone who is naturally analytical is forced to work in a chaotic and unstructured environment, they may struggle to stay focused and produce their best work.

By designing our thinking to run downhill, we can harness the power of our natural tendencies and work more efficiently and effectively. For example, if we know that we are more productive in the morning, we can schedule our most important tasks for that time of day. Similarly, if we know that we are more creative when we are relaxed and comfortable, we can create an environment that promotes relaxation and comfort.

One of the key advantages of designing our thinking to run downhill is that loose thinking lasts longer. When we are working in a way that feels natural and comfortable, we are more likely to stay engaged and focused for longer periods of time. This means that we are more likely to produce high-quality work and achieve our goals. Conversely, when we are working against our natural tendencies, we are more likely to become frustrated, tired, and disengaged. This can lead to burnout and a decrease in productivity over time.

In addition to lasting longer, loose thinking also functions better. When we are working in a way that feels natural and comfortable, we are able to access our full range of cognitive abilities. This means that we are more likely to be creative, analytical, and innovative, depending on the task at hand. When we are working against our natural tendencies, we may struggle to access certain aspects of our cognitive abilities, which can limit our potential.

To design our thinking to run downhill, we need to be aware of our natural tendencies and preferences. This requires self-reflection and self-awareness. We can also seek feedback from others to gain a better understanding of how we work best. Once we have identified our natural tendencies, we can create an environment and a work style that supports those tendencies. This may include things like scheduling our work around our most productive times, creating a comfortable and relaxing workspace, and using tools and techniques that support our preferred way of working.

In conclusion, designing our thinking to run downhill can have a significant impact on our productivity, creativity, and overall well-being. By working with our natural tendencies rather than against them, we can stay engaged and focused for longer periods of time, access our full range of cognitive abilities, and achieve our goals more effectively. While it may take some effort to identify our natural tendencies and create a work style that supports them, the benefits are well worth it in the long run.

Suit With Vested Interests (TV Tropes)

 

                

“In [Jaws], you will recall, the danger of shark attacks was concealed by venal real estate speculators who didn’t want to scare the buyers away. That’s the case this time, too; The Realtor throws a party for prospective home buyers and denies that there are piranhas in the lake until most of his would-be buyers have been digested. Implausible, you say? Try telling that to the piranhas. Next, I am anticipating a movie called Realtor.”

— Roger Ebert on Piranha

If you’ve seen a Disaster Movie or Monster Movie, you’ve probably seen this trope. There’s an oncoming disaster and The Hero is trying to get everyone to see the Cassandra Truth. Problem is that there’s this one guy, a businessman in a nice suit, involved with something that’s going to suffer if the disaster comes about. He’ll argue against people believing the hero or the Ignored Expert, he’ll try to convince people that they are safe with his product, he’ll focus on the potential rather than the safety, and he’ll try to stop word from getting further so that the stock prices don’t sink, all while the boat does.

The vested interest varies with each story. He could be the owner of the project that is actively causing the disaster or whose destruction is the disaster. On the other hand, it could just be that they would lose a lot of money from the Attack of the Town Festival. In fact, in the Attack of the Town Festival, expect this role to be played by the mayor. Finally, the best way to really up their villainy and corruption is for them to actually try to profit off the disaster when faced with the truth, with the disaster itself becoming the vested interest.

Similarly, his portrayal and motivation varies. He could be an outright Corrupt Corporate Executive who believes the disaster and just doesn’t care, or simply so emotionally invested in what he has that he can’t bring himself to face the truth. The latter tends to resonate better and appear more realistic to audiences, as well as having a natural connection to the common theme in disaster movies of Mankind vs. His Folly.

He can be either an old set-in-his-ways businessman, or a young, up-and-coming-with-a-lot-to-prove, charming guy. Pretty much Always Male due to the age of these movies, the characters, the nature of the flaw, and the Love Interest occasionally starting off as his and then changing over to the hero. By the way, the old guy vs. young buck choice tends to work as a foil to the hero.

He’ll often be the Doomed Contrarian and get finally called out as Lethally Stupid. Compare Death by Materialism.

The first great advertising campaign was more than just a sales pitch—it was the collective hallucination of an entire nation, a grand seduction that convinced a critical mass to Potemkin the very idea of America. It wasn’t about selling soap or cigarettes; it was about selling a dream, an illusion so potent that it seared itself into the DNA of every man, woman, and child who dared to cross the Atlantic or be born on its shores. The campaign was a savage testament to the power of belief, a psychotropic cocktail that spiked the national consciousness and led to the selective breeding of true believers.

Natural selection in this mad experiment didn’t favor the strong or the wise, but the gullible, the easily swayed, those who could be hypnotized by the flicker of a TV screen or the siren call of a jingle. They became the chosen ones, the ones who made it through the crucible of advertising and emerged on the other side, ready to swallow the next big lie. These survivors of the commercial apocalypse are not the masters of discernment; they don’t dig for truth in the rocky soil of reality. No, they’re a different breed, one that thrives on the fantastical and the absurd, hovering somewhere on the spectrum between the rational and the irrational, never quite landing on either.

We’ve become a nation of shape-shifters, gliding between overlapping domains of reality and advertising, like travelers hopping between trains on some godforsaken subway line, not quite sure which one will take them home. The borders between these domains are porous, and the fare is cheap; the ticket taker is blind and the map is a lie. But who needs a map when you’ve got belief? And belief, my friend, is the most powerful currency in this lunatic economy. It’s not pegged to gold or oil or anything you can touch or hold. It’s pegged to the collective willingness to suspend disbelief, to embrace the fictions that make life bearable.

Evolution, in its infinite wisdom—or perverse sense of humor—has equipped us with the uncanny ability to believe anything we damn well please. Facts be damned, we’ll twist reality until it screams if it means keeping our illusions intact. And when the continuum of reality and advertising gets too tangled, too messy, well, we’ll fix it in post. We’ll airbrush the mistakes, cut out the ugly parts, and make it look just right for the final cut. Because in the end, it’s not the truth that matters, but the story we choose to tell ourselves, the narrative that keeps the wheels spinning and the lights on.

And you know what? I’m actually fine with this. Because in a world where reality is just another construct, where the lines between fact and fiction have blurred into oblivion, what else is there to do but embrace the madness? Strap in, swallow the pill, and ride the wave of collective delusion all the way to the bitter end. It’s the American way, after all.

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It’s a balance, sure, but let’s not kid ourselves—it’s not a stretch to say that our wishes, our inclinations, and the “dictates of our passions” are constantly reshaping the state of facts and evidence. It’s not some grand conspiracy; it’s just the natural byproduct of a culture that has enshrined extreme cognitive liberty and the pursuit of happiness as its highest commandments. We are the architects of our own realities, our collective imagination the mortar holding together this fragile edifice of shared experience.

We’re still at it today, shamelessly connecting unrelated events, weaving narratives out of thin air, despite the absence of any plausible causal link. It’s the same old trick, the same mental sleight of hand, only now we’ve traded the campfires and whispers for pixels and algorithms. We stitch together the fragments of our lives, the headlines that catch our eye, the tweets that make us nod in agreement, and we call it truth. We’re magicians in a world where the only rule is that the audience has to want to be fooled.

But every now and then, reality rears its ugly head and smashes our illusions to pieces. These are the periods of adjustment, the moments when the cognitive dissonance becomes so unbearable that we’re forced to rewrite the script. We can’t just sweep it under the rug—oh no, we have to get creative. This is where retroactive continuity comes in, the art of retconning the past to fit the present. We look back and say, ‘Remember when we said this? We screwed up, forget about that,’ as if we could erase the past with a well-placed edit.

Retroactive continuity—there’s a term for you. It sounds almost clinical, like a surgical procedure or a legal maneuver, but it’s anything but. It’s the narrative equivalent of rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic, pretending that the iceberg was always part of the plan. It’s a tool of survival, a way to bend the past to serve a current plot need, to make sense of a world that refuses to conform to our desires. And we do it all the time, with history, with politics, with our own personal stories. We’re constantly retconning our lives, rewriting our memories to suit the person we’ve become, or the person we wish we were.

The beauty of it is that we’re so good at it, so practiced, that we don’t even notice we’re doing it. It’s just another part of the game, another trick in the magician’s toolbox. And in a world where facts are malleable, where truth is whatever you can convince others to believe, why shouldn’t we play fast and loose with the past? After all, if we can rewrite history to align with our current narrative, then we can keep the story going, keep the illusion alive just a little bit longer.

But the danger is always there, lurking in the shadows. Because the more we retcon, the more we warp the continuum, the more we risk losing touch with any semblance of a shared reality. We might wake up one day to find that the world we’ve constructed is nothing but a house of cards, teetering on the brink of collapse, and when it falls, there’ll be no fixing it in post. But until then, we’ll keep spinning our stories, keep connecting the dots, keep believing that we can bend the past to fit the present, and that somehow, it’ll all work out in the end. Because what else can we do? It’s the only way we know how to live.

Retcon—TV Tropes, Retroactive Continuity. Reframing past events to serve a current plot need. The ideal retcon clarifies a question alluded to without adding excessive new questions. In its most basic form, this is any tweak, twist, or outright rewrite that tries to patch the holes in a narrative. But we’ve become connoisseurs of the retcon, haven’t we? We don’t just patch the holes; we reconstruct the entire narrative tapestry, weaving in new threads where the old ones frayed, no matter how tenuous or absurd the connections might be. When that fails, we reach for the Ass Pull—a moment when we yank a solution out of thin air, defying logic and violating the Law of Conservation of Detail with a kind of reckless abandon. It’s storytelling on the edge, an improvisation that begs the audience to suspend disbelief just a little bit longer.

This post-truth collapse we’re living through is the ultimate magnification of those instincts and impulses that have been shimmering in this country from the very beginning. We’ve always been a nation of improvisers, of storytellers who can’t resist the urge to twist the narrative, to retcon history to fit our current needs. But what was once a subtle art has now become a sledgehammer, smashing through the barriers of truth and fiction until all that’s left is a haze of competing realities, each one more far-fetched than the last.

It’s always been closer to “it’s my way or the highway” in America, but the beauty of the old days was that there was always an infinity of highways, branching out in every direction, leading to new places where you could maybe try something else, start fresh, spin a new story. If you didn’t like one version of the truth, you could just pack up and find another, set up camp in a new reality where the facts aligned with your desires. The frontier was more than just a physical space; it was a psychological playground, a blank slate for endless retcons and ass pulls.

But something’s changed. The highways that used to stretch out into the horizon now seem to lead nowhere. They loop back on themselves, leading us in circles, trapping us in a never-ending cycle of retcons and reboots, each one more desperate than the last. So what happened this time? Where did all the highways go? How did we get stuck in this endless feedback loop, where every attempt to rewrite the narrative only tightens the noose?

Maybe we’ve finally run out of room. Maybe the retcons have piled up so high that there’s no more space for new ones, no more cracks to paper over. The highways didn’t disappear; they just got buried under the weight of too many stories, too many conflicting realities all fighting for supremacy. Or maybe the highways are still out there, but we’ve lost the will to find them. We’ve grown too comfortable in our constructed realities, too invested in the stories we’ve told ourselves, to venture out into the unknown and risk discovering that the truth is something we can’t control, something that won’t bend to our will no matter how hard we try.

Whatever the reason, we’re trapped now, boxed in by our own narratives, with no clear way out. The retcons have become a prison, and the highways that once promised freedom now feel like dead ends. And the most terrifying part? We might be fine with it. We might prefer the comfort of our illusions to the uncertainty of the open road. After all, as long as we can keep rewriting the past, who needs a future?

The HIGHWAY IS IN OIR HEADS

The simple answer is that now, the highways are in our heads. We’ve internalized the vast, sprawling networks that once stretched across the land, turning them inward, folding them into the labyrinth of our own minds. These highways aren’t made of asphalt and steel but of gray matter and white matter, the biological infrastructure that powers our thoughts, our dreams, our every perception of reality.

Gray matter is where the heavy lifting happens, where our brains compute, analyze, and process the world around us. White matter, on the other hand, is the connective tissue, the highways that allow the gray-matter hubs to communicate, to share information, to collaborate in the endless task of making sense of our existence. But just as a single traffic jam can gridlock an entire city, a single damaged white-matter highway can shut down whole swathes of cognitive and emotional processes. One blocked route, one severed connection, and suddenly the mind’s internal landscape is thrown into chaos, leaving us stranded in the mental equivalent of a ghost town.

These internal highways serve a critical purpose—they are the import/export routes for our natural fantasies, the pathways through which our deepest desires and wildest imaginings travel. They are the neural networks that transform abstract thoughts into coherent narratives, converting raw data into the stories we live by. But unlike the old highways, where the destination was always just over the next hill, these mental roads lead us to places that aren’t always what we hoped they’d be.

The hypotheses of these mental journeys are falsifiable, grounded in a reality that won’t bend to our will no matter how fervently we might wish otherwise. There’s no gold at the end of the road, no shortcuts to the truths we seek. There’s no such thing as a free lunch—not in the mind, not in the world. You might be able to make a living, but probably in the same way you did before, grinding away at the same old tasks, following the same worn paths in the hope of finding something new.

So here’s the real question: Do you accept the reformation without the Renaissance? Can you stomach the idea of a world where the highways in your head take you on endless loops, promising enlightenment but delivering only the same old grind? The highways are in your head, yes, but they are not boundless, not infinite. They come with their own tolls, their own detours, and they offer no guarantees of a grand destination.

You’re entitled to your own realities—each one of us is free to map out our internal highways as we see fit. But be warned: these realities won’t just vanish when you stop believing in them. They linger, like ghosts on the highway, like potholes you can’t avoid. The roads you build in your mind become part of you, shaping the way you see the world, the way you live your life. You can try to retcon them, rewrite them, even pave over them, but they’ll always be there, just beneath the surface, waiting for the right moment to rise up and remind you of where you’ve been.

In the end, the highways in our heads are both our salvation and our curse—a portmanteau of progress and stagnation, freedom and confinement. They offer us the chance to explore new worlds, but only if we’re willing to face the ones we’ve already built. So keep driving, keep dreaming, but don’t forget to watch the road. The highways may be in your head, but the journey is as real as it gets.

THE ENLIGHTENMENT

But the Enlightenment, for all its promise and grandeur, was a double-edged sword. It cut through the dogma and superstition that had held humanity in a chokehold for centuries, liberating minds from the iron grip of religion. But in that same stroke, it unleashed a torrent of thought—true, false, right, wrong, decent, evil, rational, crazy, implausible, clever, dumb—into the world. The Enlightenment wasn’t just about celebrating reason; it was about granting permission to the full spectrum of human thought, from the most absurd and untrue to the most sensible and factual. It was a revolution of the mind, but revolutions are messy, and the Enlightenment left us with a Pandora’s box of ideas, all clamoring for attention.

The champions of the Enlightenment believed that in the long run, reason would prevail. They put their faith in the marketplace of ideas, trusting that it would function like a Darwinian battleground where only the fittest concepts survived. They assumed that ideologies would be subjected to the rigors of rational scrutiny, that the false and the absurd would be weeded out, leaving only the truth standing. It was a grand experiment, the ultimate bet on human rationality, on the belief that, given enough time, people would naturally gravitate toward the best, most logical conclusions.

But what they didn’t account for was the chaotic nature of freedom itself. The marketplace of ideas, like any other market, is subject to whims, trends, and the occasional hostile takeover. Ideas don’t just rise or fall based on their inherent truth or falsity—they succeed or fail based on how well they resonate with the human psyche, with our desires, fears, and prejudices. And in a world where anything goes, where all thoughts are given equal standing, the rational is often drowned out by the irrational, the sensible by the sensational.

The Enlightenment’s architects assumed that truth would naturally float to the top, but they didn’t foresee the rise of the noise, the clamor of countless competing voices each claiming their own piece of the truth. In this cacophony, the line between truth and fiction, between reason and madness, has blurred to the point of invisibility. The marketplace of ideas hasn’t culled the inferior; it has merely amplified the loudest.

So here we are, in a world where the Enlightenment’s promise has been twisted into a parody of itself. Freedom of thought has become freedom to believe anything, and in this new reality, truth is just another commodity, traded and discarded as quickly as yesterday’s news. The Enlightenment gave us the tools to build a rational world, but it also gave us the means to destroy it, to replace it with a labyrinth of competing realities, each more fantastical than the last.

And perhaps that’s the real legacy of the Enlightenment: not the triumph of reason, but the triumph of choice—the ability to choose our own reality, our own truth, regardless of how it stands up to the facts. In the end, the Enlightenment didn’t free us from the clutches of religion; it merely replaced one set of beliefs with another, leaving us to navigate the highways of our own minds, searching for a destination that might not even exist.

Following Kant’s injunction to “think for yourself,” and with the Enlightenment triumphant, science ascendant, and tolerance required, a different kind of advertising was free to show itself in America—a land that was marketed not just as a nation of opportunity but as an enchanted realm, swarming with supernatural wonders. It was a place where the lines between the rational and the irrational blurred into a kaleidoscope of beliefs, where alchemy, astrology, the occult, freemasonry, magnetic healing, and prophetic visions were all given space to thrive.

America, in this fantastical narrative, became something akin to the early-first-century Holy Land, teeming with roaming prophets, healers, and witches. It was a place where miracles could happen, where the mundane was overlaid with the mystical, and where every plot of land could harbor untold riches. The fantasy that the land was studded with buried loot—old Spanish or Indian gold, tranches of robbers’ cash, lost jewels—was not just a folk tale but a driving force of settlement and exploration. Gold seekers, Puritans, and delusion-fueled adventurers set out across the continent, each chasing their own particular dream, often to their ruin, but sometimes to wild success.

And there was profit to be made in indulging these fantasies. America became a breeding ground for con men and visionaries alike, each one ready to cater to the latest craze. The markets for gold rushes, Puritanical fervor, satanic panics, religious deliriums, Mormonism, homesteading on the prairie, and the westward expansion were all just different flavors of the same basic scam: selling dreams to the desperate. If you had a fantasy, America was the place to live it out, no matter how improbable.

The Bible itself became fertile ground for this new American dream. If you think of the Bible as historical fiction, then it’s not a stretch to see figures like Joseph Smith as authors of a kind of Biblical fan fiction, spinning new tales from the old, recasting ancient narratives into the American landscape. In this light, Mormonism becomes less a religious movement and more a fantastical reimagining, a Don Quixote-esque quest in a land where the lines between history, myth, and reality were never firmly drawn. Smith’s Book of Mormon was America’s own Quixote of Avellaneda, a rival text that took the Biblical narrative and transplanted it into a new world, filled with “literal” Israeli émigrés, reimagined as settlers of the American West.

And why not? After all, the Bible, in its own way, pointed towards America—imagining cities upon hills, a “Promised Land” at least metaphorically akin to Jerusalem. For many settlers, this wasn’t just metaphorical; they saw the American frontier as a literal second Holy Land, destined to be the center of a reborn Christian world. The idea of a new kingdom rising in the American West wasn’t just a fantasy; it was, for many, a religious imperative, a continuation of the divine mission that began in the deserts of the Middle East and was now being fulfilled in the plains and mountains of the New World.

In this way, America wasn’t just a land of opportunity; it was a land of infinite possibility, where reality itself could be bent to fit the desires and delusions of its inhabitants. It was a place where the Enlightenment’s call to “think for yourself” had been taken to its most extreme, where every man was his own prophet, and every belief, no matter how absurd, was given the space to flourish. The highways of America were more than just roads—they were the paths to a thousand different realities, each one more fantastical than the last, and each one as real as any other, so long as you believed in it.

38 WIVES

Some would redefine Heaven in a mostly sci-fi way. In this vision, you’re not just one of a mass of a billion indistinguishable souls floating in some ethereal netherworld; instead, you are the king or queen of your own personal planetary fiefdom, a resurrected immortal physical being ruling over your celestial domain. This version of the afterlife appeals to a distinctly modern sensibility—where individualism reigns supreme, and Heaven isn’t just a place of spiritual contentment, but a universe where you are the center of it all.

In this uniquely American vision, the boundary between fantasy and reality was porous. Religious leaders who claimed divine revelation felt compelled to obey long-standing commands to become polygamous or face divine retribution. Some took this to extreme lengths—marrying 32 women in just two years, with 8 of those marriages occurring during a single three-month period, and 6 of those brides being teenagers. Yet, even amidst this frenzied pursuit of a “holy” mandate, the same men could turn around and run for president, boasting that they had kept their followers more loyal than Jesus had managed with his disciples.

America was, in many ways, built by people who were LARPing—engaging in live-action role-play, immune to fact checks, and convinced that they had exclusive access to the facts. It was a place designed to blur the line between the fictional and the real world, where players could fully immerse themselves in their characters’ goals within a setting that was no less real for being imagined.

In this environment, you could “rise up,” channel the Holy Spirit, be born again instantly, and be rewarded with an eternal afterlife, all while new technologies like high-speed travel, the telegraph, and photography were making “technology indistinguishable from magic.” The very concept of reality was flexible, and with the right beliefs—or the right tools—you could reshape it entirely.

You could communicate with ghosts through Morse code, and the advent of electrical transatlantic communication was taken as “proof” of the possibility of communication between two worlds: the living and the dead. The boundaries between the natural and the supernatural, the real and the imagined, were dissolving in the face of rapid technological advancement and fervent belief. In America, the distinction between Heaven and Earth, the mortal and the divine, was as thin as a telegraph wire and just as charged with possibility.

TO BR CONTINUED

What a Strange Trip this has Been # 9

Maybe the real horror show isn’t that we’re regressing to blood and soil instincts, but that this whole “American Dream” was a con from the start, a freakish sideshow designed to keep the rubes and yokels fixated on an illusion of power, freedom, and superiority. The goons in their red, white, and blue costumes waving flags and chanting slogans don’t realize that the true essence of being American isn’t about tribalism or some primal connection to the land. That’s the snake oil they’ve been fed by the hucksters and charlatans who need the masses to stay blind, fat, and obedient.

No, being American is about a perpetual motion forward, a goddamn refusal to stagnate in the muck of ancient hatreds and archaic loyalties. It’s about embracing the chaos, the contradictions, the glorious mess of a nation built on the rubble of failed utopias and broken promises. It’s about flipping the bird to anyone who tries to drag us back into the swamp of nativism and fear, where the only truth is the one you can bludgeon your neighbor into accepting.

But here we are, teetering on the edge of regression, while the real puppet masters—the corporate overlords, the bureaucratic vampires, the power brokers with their greasy fingers in every pie—smirk from their towers, knowing they’ve got the rabble right where they want them. They’re laughing, not because they share in these blood and soil fantasies, but because they know they’ve sold the most lethal drug of all: the illusion that America was ever about anything more than the constant, relentless hustle for survival in a world that never gave a damn about where you came from or what you believed.

If being American means anything, it’s the rejection of the past’s suffocating grip, the instinct to scorch the earth rather than let the weeds of old world fears take root. It’s the idea that nothing is sacred except the drive to keep moving, keep evolving, keep tearing down whatever idols the fearful and the small-minded try to erect in the name of stability. Blood and soil are the shackles that keep you grounded when you should be soaring into the unknown, into the future, where the only true American instinct should be to burn down the old and build something new, again and again, until the whole damned system shakes itself apart in a beautiful, chaotic dance of freedom and madness.

Historiography and Plot Technologies

Plot is useful in the service of an appropriate model of the universe but we should not create a model of the universe to service plot.

A bad plot can rarely be overcome by more plot.

Narrativium, the imaginary element introduced by Terry Pratchett in his Discworld series, represents the power of storytelling to shape our understanding of the world. Stories and narratives are an integral part of human culture and communication. They help us make sense of the world around us, provide entertainment, and convey important messages. However, when it comes to creating narratives, there is a danger of prioritizing plot over accuracy or truth. In other words, we should not create a model of the universe to service plot.

The problem with prioritizing plot is that it can lead to inaccuracies and oversimplifications. When we try to fit the universe into a specific plot or narrative, we risk ignoring or downplaying information that does not fit with our preconceived notions. This can result in a distorted view of reality that does not accurately reflect the complexity and nuance of the world we live in. Narrativium makes analogies and historiography difficult because it leads us to simplify complex issues and create patterns where there may be none. We tend to remember the few who succeed and forget the many who fail, attributing success to skill and hard work rather than variance and luck.

The goal of storytelling should be to convey truth and meaning, not simply to entertain. When we prioritize plot over truth, we risk losing sight of this goal and promoting inaccurate or harmful ideas. Therefore, we should strive to create narratives that are grounded in truth and accuracy, and resist the urge to shape the universe to fit our predetermined plotlines. By doing so, we can create stories that not only entertain but also inspire and inform.

To counteract this tendency, it’s important to recognize the role of chance in shaping events. Nassim Taleb’s concept of alternative histories is useful here: if we were to relive a set of events 1000 times, the range of outcomes would likely be much broader than we imagine. Human history is not deterministic, and we should be wary of creating a simplistic narrative that imposes a teleology or notion of progress onto the past.

One approach to studying these processes is through the use of Bayesian networks. Bayesian networks are probabilistic models that allow us to map out the factors that lead to certain outcomes. They can be used to identify the variables that are most strongly associated with particular inventions or social behaviors. By examining the relationships between these variables, we can begin to gain a deeper understanding of the mechanisms that drive historical change.

For example, imagine we want to understand why the Industrial Revolution occurred in Britain during the 18th and 19th centuries. Using a Bayesian network, we could identify variables such as access to capital, technological innovation, and labor supply as key factors that contributed to the rise of industrialization. We could then examine how these factors interacted with one another, and what role they played in creating a favorable environment for innovation and economic growth.

Another important concept in understanding historical processes is the idea of auto-catalysis. Auto-catalytic processes refer to the ways in which certain factors can feed back on themselves, creating positive or negative feedback loops that amplify or dampen their effects over time. This can be seen in many areas of human history, from the spread of language and culture to the evolution of political systems and economic institutions.

For example, imagine that a particular innovation, such as the printing press, is developed in a particular society. As more people begin to use the printing press, its benefits become more apparent, and demand for printed materials increases. This creates a positive feedback loop, in which the use of the printing press is amplified by its own success. Similarly, negative feedback loops can occur when the consequences of a particular behavior lead to its own inhibition or restriction.

By examining these auto-catalytic processes, we can gain a better understanding of the factors that contribute to historical change. We can see how certain innovations and social behaviors spread through a society, and how they interact with other factors to create new systems and institutions.

Ultimately, the power of narrativium lies in its ability to help us make sense of the world around us. However, we should not create a model of the universe to service plot. Rather, we should strive for a nuanced understanding of the past that recognizes the complex interplay of chance and human agency. By doing so, we can gain a deeper appreciation for the richness and diversity of human history.

In conclusion, to truly understand how human history evolves, we need to look beyond individual actors and events and focus on the underlying processes that shape social behavior. Bayesian networks can help us map out the factors that lead to invention, standardization, and replication, while auto-catalytic processes highlight the ways in which these factors can interact with one another to create complex feedback loops. By studying these processes, we can gain a deeper understanding of the mechanisms that drive historical change, and how they shape the world we live in today.

The Black Death and Global Warming

The historical record suggests that climate events have played a significant role in shaping human history. One example of this is the spread of the plague, or Black Death, which devastated Europe in the 14th century. Recent research indicates that the plague was reintroduced to Europe multiple times following Asian climate events.

Using tree-ring based climate records from Europe and Asia, researchers have identified periods of wet conditions, followed by droughts, across parts of Central Asia. These conditions were tough for rodents in the region, which are traditionally the hosts of the plague bacterium, and their numbers would plummet. Infected fleas would seek new hosts, often latching onto passing human traders or their camels.

It is not yet clear exactly how the plague made its way westward. However, we know that 14-16 years after the rodent-killing drought, plague would often be reintroduced into Europe. The delay may seem long, but following a dry period, it would take a year or two for the rodent population to crash and fleas to come into contact with humans. Then the disease would need to travel some 2,500 miles to Europe, covering about 250 miles per year.

The Black Death was not a one-off event. It marked the beginning of the second plague pandemic in Europe, which only disappeared from the continent after the Great Plague of London in 1665-1666. If the “reservoir” thesis were correct, we would expect plague outbreaks to be associated with local climate fluctuations, through changes in agricultural yields and primary productions in forests, affecting the number of urban and wildlife rodents, resulting in more plague.

These findings have important implications for understanding the potential impacts of climate change on human health. As the global temperature continues to rise, we may see the release of ancient bacteria from permafrost that has been buried for millennia. This could pose a serious risk to human populations, as these biological agents could trigger new outbreaks of disease that we are not equipped to handle.

For example, in the 1340s, a 1.5-degree movement of heating of the Earth’s atmosphere — probably because of solar flares or volcanic activity — changed the cycle of the Yersinia pestis bacterium. That 1½-degree difference allowed a small microbe to develop into the Black Death.

There are recent examples of melting permafrost presenting a serious hazard to people. In 2016, a 12-year-old boy died and over 40 people were hospitalized in Siberia after having been infected by anthrax released when high summer temperatures melted permafrost.

In conclusion, the historical record indicates that climate events have played a significant role in shaping human history. The spread of the plague, or Black Death, is just one example of this. Recent research suggests that the plague was reintroduced to Europe multiple times following Asian climate events. These findings have important implications for understanding the potential impacts of climate change on human health, and highlight the need for urgent action to mitigate its effects.